Politics

The organizers of the Vladimir primaries of “United Russia” counted 161 thousand voters: 115 thousand of them voted for one candidate

Govyrin, Anikeev, and Igoshin won

On June 1, the Vladimir regional branch of United Russia officially summarized the results of the preliminary voting for the Duma nomination. A total of 75 people took part in the internal party caucus, three of whom, judging by their advertising in the party press, were bound to succeed from the very beginning.

Alexei Govyrin won the roll call by a wide margin, receiving 115,057 votes. Seventy-one percent of those who turned out in the primaries, according to the United Russia Party, put a cross in front of his name on the ballot.

The party said that 161,000 people in Vladimir took part in the primaries, or 15% of all voters in the region. By comparison, in all of Russia less than 5 million people, or 5% of the electorate, participated in internal party voting. The Vladimir party activists managed to achieve a turnout three times higher than national figures.

According to the United Russia party activists themselves, almost 75 thousand residents voted in person at polling stations by 6 p. m. on May 31. It is surprising that the voting of such a large number of citizens in the oblast occurred almost imperceptibly. A comparable number of votes by United Russia votes online.

In single-mandate districts, incumbent Duma deputy Igor Igoshin (70,515 votes) and his colleague Grigory Anikeev (75,443 votes) won. These parties also won by a wide margin over their opponents.
The regional branch is calling the preliminary voting “a training session before the election. The ruling party is testing how well it can mobilize its electorate, and in the process is establishing a dynamic pattern for future voters to vote for the right candidate in actual elections. This procedure also makes it possible to bypass the ban on campaigning before the official start of the election campaign.

This year the voting took place both at the polling stations and online on a special website. The results of some candidates turned out to be fantastically unpredictable. For example, the little-known Alexei Govyrin garnered the same number of votes as two long-time State Duma deputies with powerful PR resources. Some candidates, more or less well known in the region, were seriously inferior to unremarkable party functionaries.

The voting results on the list were distributed as follows:

Because of the surprisingly high result of candidate Govyrin, it is little noticeable that the votes of almost all participants in the list primaries do not correspond to the expected in this case Poisson distribution. If we place the participants in descending order of the number of votes, the difference in votes with the neighboring candidates practically does not correlate (the correlation coefficient is 0.1) with the number of votes. The votes are scattered over the list with a decrease tending to the uniform one.

The probability of obtaining such a distribution of votes in a fair count is low.

The results of the voting in the districts do not show such electoral anomalies. The incumbent deputies won there by a wide margin (Anikeev in Suzdal, Igoshin in Vladimir), more votes were won by household names, and the correlation coefficient between votes and the difference between the candidates and their neighbors was high (0.6).

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