According to the regional Department of Justice, 2,398 people died in the Vladimir region in January 2022. This is 494 more people than in pre-coronavirus January 2020, but 128 fewer than in January 2021.
Last month, 694 babies were born in the region. Thus, the mortality rate exceeded the birth rate 3.4-fold. In the Vladimir region has not yet reached the maximum trend of population decline. Every year the gap between the number of births and deaths is only getting worse.
A small consolation here may be the fact that in reality the number of births among mothers from the Vladimir region turns out to be somewhat higher than the official figures. This is due to the fact that many people prefer not to give birth in the institutions of the regional health care system. The Regional Health Department does not publish data on the percentage of such births.
Even taking this factor into account, the decline in the region’s population looks impressive. Since the beginning of 2000, the population of the Vladimir Region has decreased by 16.1% due to natural decrease and migration. The posters “Vladimir region, where one wants to live and work” when ex-governor Svetlana Orlova was in office only denied the obvious. At the end of 2021, the Vladimir region ranked fourth among Russia’s regions in terms of population decline, the Novaya Gazeta newspaper calculates.
If we look at the change in the number of deaths over the past three years in terms of municipalities, there is a noticeable change: if in 2021 the mortality rate increased sharply in large cities, in 2022 its increase was more significant in some areas with a higher proportion of rural residents and small settlements.
The official statistics on the incidence of coronavirus, as well as the number of occupied beds for COVID-19 patients, suggest that the first half of the month could be considered epidemiologically benign compared to December 2021 and the end of January 2022.
The peak incidence of the Omicron strain in our region is expected to occur in February. Despite the fact that this variant of the virus is statistically lighter, data from other countries suggest that mortality rates in these countries may even exceed the sad results of previous waves of coronavirus.